The Latin America Credit Outlook 2025 event series will explore credit risks across key sectors in the local and international capital markets, including the Sovereign, Financial Institutions, Corporate, and Infrastructure sectors.
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In 2025, the region will face several challenges, including lower commodity prices, evolving trade and immigration policies of the incoming Trump administration, and China’s slowdown. While China continues to invest heavily, particularly in South America, Mexico will encounter increasing anti-China pressures from the US.
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Despite these challenges, the banking system in Latin America remains robust and adaptable. However, shifts in sovereign risk assessments could impact banking profiles, necessitating increased vigilance. Simultaneously, corporations with strong cash flow generation and ample maneuverability to handle refinancing risks must navigate uncertain challenges related to tariffs.
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Climate change continues to pose ongoing concerns for energy assets, while government fiscal constraints present both challenges and opportunities, creating promising investment avenues for the private sector in infrastructure.
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Don’t miss the opportunity to engage with our panelists about the balance of signals and how evolving geopolitical developments, may impact credit risks and capital flows into the Latin American region in 2025.Â
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FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS OUTLOOK:
· The operating environment and regulatory landscape for Latin American financial institutions
· The impact of emerging technologies and innovation on the financial systems
· Capital adequacy and funding needs amidst a challenging environment.
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Engage with our panelists to gain insights into the Financial Institutions Outlook and understand the potential credit developments in the region for 2025.
Additional speakers to be announced.Â
Alejandro Garcia has worked for over 20 years in Fitch Ratings’ Latin America Financial Institutions Group (FIG). In 2015, Alejandro was appointed Managing Director and Regional Group Head for this analytical department, leading around 50 Fitch analysts in eight offices and seven countries across the Americas, covering nearly 500 financial institutions in the region. Alejandro is also a member of Fitch’s Financial Institutions Criteria Committee, and a frequent participant in the agency’s global research initiatives related to financial entities and banking systems. Before taking on his current position, Alejandro was the country head of Fitch’s Financial Institutions Group in Mexico. His analytical expertise at Fitch has included rating coverage of financial institutions in Mexico, Argentina, Uruguay, Colombia and Central America. During his tenure at Fitch, Alejandro has been responsible for the ratings of banks, non-bank financial institutions, holding companies, securities firms, insurance companies, clearing houses, asset managers, as well as mutual and pension funds, among others. Alejandro earned a B.A. in Economics from the Monterrey Institute of Technology in 1998, and has been a CFA charter-holder since 2008.
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Monica Ibarra is a senior director in Fitch Rating’s non-bank financial institutions group. She was recently appointed as Regional Group Head of Latin American NBFIs, currently located in Monterrey, Mexico.
Monica joined Fitch back in 2004. She has more than 18 years of experience in different groups in the rating agency. She was previously a senior member of Fitch’s Latin American Financial Institutions analytical team, with experience across Banks and NBFI (2012-2020) and Fund and Asset Manager ratings (2004-2012).
Juan Rafael GarcÃa-Padilla has a Bachelor degree in economics from Instituto Tecnológico y de Estudios Superiores de Monterrey, Campus Estado de México (ITESM-CEM), and a Master degree in business administration with a major in financial administration, from the University of North Carolina. He worked in Banco de México from 2001 to 2023, where he held several positions including head of the Secondary Market Operations, manager of the Market Operations Division and ultimately Director of Domestic Operations. He was responsible for implementing Banco de México’s monetary and exchange rate policy and Banco de México’s activities as financial agent for the Federal Government. He joined Santander in 2023 as Executive Director of Financial Management and Investor Relations, where he is responsible for managing Santander’s structural risks that includes interest, liquidity and capital sufficiency risk.Â